Maybank Investment Bank wrote another company update on Tanjong PLC again today. It keeps the same target price @ RM18.60.
Succession planning, and more? Mr Yin Yee Yuen, COO of Pan Malaysian Pools, retains his position. He is nearing retirement age after sixteen years with the company. Mr Goh’s appointment could be seen as succession planning. It could also be read as a possible prelude to corporate restructuring now that Entertainment has been carved out as a separate division.
… from MIB.
Tanjong stock price hover around RM16.40 for 3 weeks. It ended at RM16.16 on November 2009 due to Dubai fear. So what is the best buying price for Tanjong? I set RM15.50 as the buying price on 10th November 2009. I will lower it to RM15.00 or RM14.50 if Dubai issue is getting worst. Let’s wait and see…
Buy stock when economy crisis; Sell stock when on good economy
Will Tanjong PLC split its power and gaming division? Maybank Investment Bank mentioned about splitting the power and gaming will bring more value to Tanjong on 5 November 2009. Tanjong stock price up 44 cents from RM15.38 to RM15.82 that day. Up another 58 cents to RM16.40 the next day (Highest intraday ~ RM16.72).
Tanjong intraday performance on 06 November 2009
Based on the technical research from Maybank Investment Bank on 6 November 2009, Tanjong has 2 upside targets of RM16.70 and RM17.78. Well, Tanjong hit the first upside target easily that day. How about the next one? When can it achieve that? And come to another question, why there are 2 research reports from Maybank Investment Bank about Tanjong in these 2 days. And it brought good news too. Some investors did fall into buying flow. Does it have anything to do with Maxis re-listing? Will Ananda Krishnan split Tanjong into 2 divisions? If Tanjong split, it will not be in FBM KLCI (top 30 stocks) anymore. Will it?
So many questions but no answers…
Everybody make mistakes. That’s no a problem. But knowing it and without rectify it. Then it will be a problem. I thought stock market will rally until end of October 2009. However, it did not. Both of the stocks INTC and Tanjong that I target were flat in October. Just like Maybank Investment Bank asked traders to sell on 5 October 2009, a wrong prediction. Anyway, it is hard to predict stock market. And investor should not buy stock based on prediction but on the stock value itself.
INTC October 2009 performance
There are 2 important dates in October for INTC. One is the quarterly report announcement and the second one is employee stock option exchange date. I predicted there will be spike in price on both of the dates. But I was only correct on the first one. And wrong on the other ~ it is good for Intel employees because of the low stock option exchange price. But not for me who want to sell at USD22.50. Hmm… I have to keep it for another 3 months again.
Tanjong PLC October 2009 performance
Same apply to Tanjong PLC. Its 1H net profit increased 10.4% to 372.941 million. And it should be able to climb back to RM16.00 easily. But it failed to do so in October 2009. Luckily, I still have the dividend of 17.5 cents. Else, I will end up earning nothing for October 2009.
Do you trust stock research firm analysis? That’s the question that I always ask myself. I still remember that Maybank Investment Bank told its investors to SELL! SELL! SELL! Don’t BUY anymore on 5 October 2009.
Past 2 months FBM KLCI performance
FBM KLCI was at 1206.25 on 2 October 2009. And it is at 1265.74 now. That’s 5% increases. If you bought unit trust based on FBM KLCI index, you will have 5% returns within 2 weeks. However, if you trusted Maybank Investment Bank, you will loss some money (or did not earn).
Personally, I do read all the analysis from the experts. But I will use them as a reference only. They are also human and cannot predict the stock market trend. Therefore, always study and analysis more. I expected another spike in stock market. And it did. But how far can it go? That’s another question…
Tanjong Plc is one of the 30 FBM KLCI stocks. It is independent power producer and Malaysian number forecasting operator (lottery). It is a good defensive stock because of its attractive 6.28% dividend yield (based on RM14.30 market price). With current fixed deposit rate of 2.5% per annual, Tanjong Plc is good to invest due to its good track of historical dividend payout.
Tanjong Plc performance since June 2009
I started to study the research done by OSK Research, Standard & Poor’s (S&P) Equity Research by Public Bank and Maybank Investment Bank. The 12-month target prices given by these research firms are about the same RM18.60, RM17.00 and RM17.60. I checked back the previous recommended target price. OSK Research gave a very aggressive price that cannot be reached. S&P is still okay to follow but failed to reach too. Why? It is all because of other factors like economy, politics. Therefore, we should only use it as guidance. Study and make your own decision.
What price should we sell? Nope. I don’t sell attractive dividend yield stock. We should keep it unless the company is not performing anymore. The question we should ask… What price should I buy? Buy at the discounted price during economy downturn. Normally, people stay away from stock market. But that’s the best time to buy these high dividend yield stocks actually.
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